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Projection · SURMOUNT-1

Zepbound weight loss from 390 lb

If you match the trial average at 15 mg, you'd be about 308 lb by week 72.

Clinician review pending Updated
Avg loss by week 72
−82lb
15 mg, 20.9%
Weight at week 72
308lb
if you match the average
Placebo group
−12lb
3.1%, same trial
Trial length
72weeks
SURMOUNT-1
Show the math
Loss = 390 lb × 20.9% = 82 lb
Projected weight from 390 lb
3023263493733970122436486072weeks

Zepbound 15 mgZepbound 10 mgZepbound 5 mgPlacebo

Week by week

WeekZepbound 15 mgZepbound 10 mgZepbound 5 mg
Week 4−13 lb · 377−12 lb · 378−9 lb · 381
Week 8−24 lb · 366−23 lb · 367−17 lb · 373
Week 12−34 lb · 356−31 lb · 359−24 lb · 366
Week 16−42 lb · 348−39 lb · 351−30 lb · 360
Week 24−54 lb · 336−51 lb · 339−39 lb · 351
Week 36−67 lb · 323−62 lb · 328−48 lb · 342
Week 52−76 lb · 314−71 lb · 319−55 lb · 335
Week 72−82 lb · 308−76 lb · 314−58 lb · 332

Pounds lost · weight. A curve shaped to the trial endpoint, not trial data for each week.

What each milestone means at 390 lb

LossPoundsNew weight
5%20 lb370 lb
10%39 lb351 lb
15%58 lb332 lb
20%78 lb312 lb
25%98 lb292 lb

At 15 mg, about 9 in 10 people lost at least 5% of body weight and more than half lost at least 20%.

How this projection works

We take the average loss reported in SURMOUNT-1 (2,539 adults with obesity or overweight, without diabetes) and fit a smooth curve that reaches it at week 72. Real progress is lumpier: early weeks include water, increases follow the dose steps, and individual results range widely around the average. Diet and activity changes were part of the trial for everyone, including placebo.

Other start weights

Common questions

How much weight can you lose on Zepbound at 390 lb?

If you matched the SURMOUNT-1 average at 15 mg (20.9%), you'd lose about 82 lb over 72 weeks. Many people lose more or less.

How fast does Zepbound weight loss happen?

Loss is fastest in the first months and slows as you near the plateau. By week 24, the curve here shows about 54 lb at 15 mg.

Is this a guarantee?

No. It's an average from a trial, applied to your start weight. Your prescriber and your own weigh-ins are the real guide.

Sources

  1. Zepbound prescribing information (FDA label on DailyMed)
  2. SURMOUNT-1 trial publication

Clinician review pending. Drafted from primary sources and waiting for sign-off by a licensed clinician (MD, DO or PharmD) before launch. Every number is checked against its source. Drug facts are re-checked quarterly, prices monthly and whenever a label changes. How we review · Report an error